Outcome evidence

Outcomes

Sponsor-first evidence for realized value, decision adherence, channel execution, and the corrections the operating pack still needs.

Scope

Cohort focus is pinned to 01 Oct 2025. Use “Return to window” to restore the rolling evidence window.

Evidence board

Cohort 01 Oct 2025

Cohort 01 Oct 2025 settled 85 cases with £-14,354 realized against £-13,515 expected, leaving £-839 variance; 60.00% landed on plan or better, while channel underperformance remains the main leakage driver.

Latest settled cohort01 Mar 2026
Scope nowFocused cohort 01 Oct 2025 / All segments / All executed paths / All channels / All decisions / All outcome bands
Settled cases85

Cohort 01 Oct 2025 realized outcomes in active scope.

Realized delta vs plan-£14.4K

Value delivered against the current plan at execution.

Variance to expected-£839

Difference between realized delta and the execution-time expectation.

On plan or better60.0%

Settled cases that landed on plan or beat plan.

Override share7.1%

Settled cases executed away from the recommended path.

Manual review share35.3%

Settled cases that ended on the manual review route.

Median turnaround11.0d

Median execution latency from release to settlement.

Cohort performance ledger

Settled performance by cohort

One line per settled cohort month so sponsors can see realized value, decision posture, and where action is now required.

CohortSettledExpectedRealizedVarianceOn plan+OverrideManual reviewMedian TATDominant segmentDominant pathAction required
01 Oct 202585-£13.5K-£14.4K-£83960.0%7.1%35.3%11.0dSUVTrade SaleManual review still dominating settled mix.
Value leakage workbench

Value Leakage Attribution

Reconciles variance to the primary cause driving settled performance.

Primary driverCasesExpectedRealizedVariance
Overridden path6£521.4-£706.2-£1.2K
Manual exception32-£15.7K-£17.2K-£1.5K
Slow execution11£143.4£1.4K£1.2K
Channel underperformance11£0-£3.2K-£3.2K
Approved execution25£1.6K£5.3K£3.8K
Segment x executed path

Route concentration matrix

Shows where the settled mix and on-plan performance are concentrating inside the active scope.

SegmentManual ReviewTrade SaleDigital RetailAuctionExtend 6 MonthsRe-Lease
EV10.0%475.0%--10.0%-
Premium922.2%2100.0%10.0%---
SUV1127.3%683.3%757.1%-20.0%2100.0%
Hatchback3100.0%1872.2%--1100.0%1100.0%
Van650.0%988.9%-1100.0%--
Settled decisions

Case-level evidence

Explains how each realized outcome landed without forcing the operator to leave the evidence room.

85 rows in active scope
CaseSettledCustomerAssetOwnerCurrent planExecutedExpectedRealizedVarianceDriverApproval postureWhy this landed here
Case 0204831 Oct 2025Freya WardKia SportageGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£506.2£506.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0308931 Oct 2025Harry CampbellVolkswagen TransporterGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£112.9-£603-£490.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0356331 Oct 2025Benjamin EllisVolkswagen TransporterGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£615.3-£806.8-£191.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0342830 Oct 2025Jacob FisherHyundai Kona ElectricGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£91£91Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0313629 Oct 2025Ruby ClarkeFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£47.7-£47.7Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0251829 Oct 2025Jacob FisherVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£231.8-£300.4-£68.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0285428 Oct 2025Freya WardHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£2.1K£545.2-£1.5KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0291527 Oct 2025George PatelMercedes-Benz C 220George PatelAuctionManual Review-£218.9£509£727.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0263127 Oct 2025Jessica WilsonVolkswagen GolfSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£312.4£312.4Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0231927 Oct 2025Jessica WilsonFord FiestaSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£358.6-£358.6Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0198426 Oct 2025Theo MurphyKia EV6Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£1K£1KSlow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0344226 Oct 2025Charlotte WebbFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£508.2£508.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0215226 Oct 2025Freya WardFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeExtend 6 MonthsRe-Lease£274.6£290.8£16.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Re-Lease replaced extend 6 months. No second-line release required.
Case 0262826 Oct 2025Ella HughesFord FiestaSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£5.4-£5.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0345026 Oct 2025Ava KhanVolkswagen GolfSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£41.2-£41.2Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0331126 Oct 2025Archie TaylorKia SportageGeorge PatelRe-LeaseDigital Retail£291-£403.1-£694.1Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Digital Retail replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0354326 Oct 2025Oscar HallNissan QashqaiSophie BennettDigital RetailManual Review-£1.1K-£1.8K-£778.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0312525 Oct 2025Jessica WilsonKia SportageGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£89.5£660.5£750Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0246825 Oct 2025Oliver PriceFord FiestaGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£177£524.3£347.3Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0240924 Oct 2025Thomas FosterVolkswagen TransporterSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£402.6-£402.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0219224 Oct 2025Theo MurphyNissan QashqaiGeorge PatelDigital RetailManual Review-£1K-£952.4£50.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0253424 Oct 2025Grace GrahamKia SportageGeorge PatelDigital RetailManual Review-£1.4K-£1K£343.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0223324 Oct 2025Lily JenkinsKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£1.1K-£1.1KApproved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0250123 Oct 2025Jessica WilsonHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelExtend 6 MonthsRe-Lease£1.1K£795.9-£295.1Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Re-Lease replaced extend 6 months. No second-line release required.
Case 0295723 Oct 2025Daniel RobertsVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£517-£517Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0275522 Oct 2025Sophie WalkerAudi A4Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£412.8-£412.8Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0290921 Oct 2025Lily JenkinsFord Transit CustomGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£382.4£382.4Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0262721 Oct 2025Benjamin EllisToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£13.3£13.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0324320 Oct 2025Daniel RobertsKia SportageSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£633.6£633.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0230720 Oct 2025Daniel RobertsFord Transit CustomSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£451.2£451.2Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0281718 Oct 2025Archie TaylorAudi A4Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£630.3£630.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0309518 Oct 2025Benjamin EllisFord Transit CustomGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£195.7-£195.7Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0353118 Oct 2025Harry CampbellKia SportageSophie BennettRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£858.5-£759.9£98.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0306118 Oct 2025Daniel RobertsMercedes-Benz C 220Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.7K-£1.6K£82Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0261617 Oct 2025Ruby ClarkeVolkswagen GolfSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£87.5£87.5Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0339217 Oct 2025Grace GrahamFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review£0-£160.5-£160.5Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0231817 Oct 2025Isla TurnerKia EV6George PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£732.2-£791.2-£59Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0262916 Oct 2025George PatelAudi A4Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.7K-£1.7K£64.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0182315 Oct 2025George PatelFord FiestaGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£79.9£246.4£326.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0319014 Oct 2025Ava KhanMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeAuctionTrade Sale£517.8£718.1£200.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0255714 Oct 2025Archie TaylorHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£304.6£304.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0223114 Oct 2025Harry CampbellVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£79.2-£79.2Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0293913 Oct 2025Benjamin EllisToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£480.1£480.1Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0295913 Oct 2025Harry CampbellVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeAuctionTrade Sale£213.5£3.2-£210.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0208913 Oct 2025Archie TaylorNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£509.9-£509.9Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0257612 Oct 2025Ella HughesFord Transit CustomGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£40.9£40.9Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0340411 Oct 2025Oliver PriceVolkswagen TransporterGeorge PatelAuctionTrade Sale£761.9£1.1K£367.5Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0328011 Oct 2025Isla TurnerHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£193£686.2£879.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0315511 Oct 2025Archie TaylorKia SportageGeorge PatelDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.2K-£78.4£1.1KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0237410 Oct 2025Theo MurphyHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£133.2£133.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0347510 Oct 2025Thomas FosterFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£60.9-£60.9Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0183410 Oct 2025Leo SinghKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£63.3-£63.3Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0226809 Oct 2025Lucas EdwardsBMW 320dSophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£666.8-£330.3£336.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0270909 Oct 2025Jessica WilsonVolkswagen TransporterSophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£126.3-£568.6-£442.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0209508 Oct 2025Mia WatsonBMW 320dAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£442£442Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0269908 Oct 2025Harry CampbellKia EV6George PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£435.6-£435.6Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0191208 Oct 2025Leo SinghMercedes-Benz C 220Amelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£133.6-£465.5-£331.8Manual exceptionApprovedManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0332408 Oct 2025Jacob FisherNissan QashqaiSophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£406.9-£612.6-£205.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0328708 Oct 2025Finley DaviesToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£672.2-£672.2Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0193908 Oct 2025Mia WatsonAudi A4Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£658.8-£1K-£351.8Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0313007 Oct 2025Charlotte WebbKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0£982.6£982.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0348407 Oct 2025Amelia BennettFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£100.3£133£233.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0329907 Oct 2025Lily JenkinsTesla Model 3George PatelRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£665.4-£609.1£56.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0261107 Oct 2025Finley DaviesKia SportageAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£617-£628.6-£11.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0288007 Oct 2025Freya WardToyota YarisSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£762.7-£762.7Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0321506 Oct 2025Thomas FosterMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionTrade Sale£575£898.2£323.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0260106 Oct 2025Benjamin EllisHyundai Kona ElectricSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£829.4£829.4Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0246106 Oct 2025Thomas FosterMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction-£254.9£371.3£626.3Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0276006 Oct 2025Isla TurnerNissan QashqaiSophie BennettDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£260.6-£260.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0262406 Oct 2025Oliver PriceFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£592.3-£592.3Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0268306 Oct 2025Jessica WilsonHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£907.8-£1.1K-£219.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0208005 Oct 2025Amelia BennettToyota YarisAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£164.5£164.5Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0359305 Oct 2025Jessica WilsonAudi A4George PatelDigital RetailManual Review-£1.6K-£1.5K£122.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0229604 Oct 2025Theo MurphyMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£64.6-£64.6Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0333404 Oct 2025Lucas EdwardsFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£97.4-£296.6-£199.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0289504 Oct 2025Archie TaylorKia SportageSophie BennettDigital RetailManual Review-£1.2K-£1.4K-£246.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0239003 Oct 2025Oliver PriceFord FiestaGeorge PatelAuctionTrade Sale£229.2£854.6£625.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0268003 Oct 2025Ella HughesNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£310.7-£1.9K-£1.6KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0352802 Oct 2025Ava KhanKia SportageSophie BennettAuctionRe-Lease£1.7K£1.1K-£624.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Re-Lease replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0235102 Oct 2025Finley DaviesHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£616.6-£616.6Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0219101 Oct 2025Oscar HallHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£806.9£806.9Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0235301 Oct 2025Jack MasonFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£240.3-£121.3£119.1Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0183701 Oct 2025Thomas FosterMercedes-Benz C 220Amelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£137-£492.4-£355.4Manual exceptionApprovedManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0358901 Oct 2025Benjamin EllisHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£563-£1.3K-£764.8Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0244101 Oct 2025Lily JenkinsAudi A4George PatelDigital RetailManual Review-£1.6K-£2K-£369.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.