Outcome evidence

Outcomes

Sponsor-first evidence for realized value, decision adherence, channel execution, and the corrections the operating pack still needs.

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Scope

Cohort focus is pinned to 01 Feb 2026. Use “Return to window” to restore the rolling evidence window.

Evidence board

Cohort 01 Feb 2026

Cohort 01 Feb 2026 settled 24 cases with £-497 realized against £-2,856 expected, leaving £2,359 variance; 70.83% landed on plan or better, while override behaviour remains the main leakage driver.

Latest settled cohort01 Mar 2026
Scope nowFocused cohort 01 Feb 2026 / All segments / All executed paths / All channels / All decisions / All outcome bands / 15-21 days
Settled cases24

Cohort 01 Feb 2026 realized outcomes in active scope.

Realized delta vs plan-£497.4

Value delivered against the current plan at execution.

Variance to expected£2.4K

Difference between realized delta and the execution-time expectation.

On plan or better70.8%

Settled cases that landed on plan or beat plan.

Override share20.8%

Settled cases executed away from the recommended path.

Manual review share29.2%

Settled cases that ended on the manual review route.

Median turnaround16.5d

Median execution latency from release to settlement.

Cohort performance ledger

Settled performance by cohort

One line per settled cohort month so sponsors can see realized value, decision posture, and where action is now required.

CohortSettledExpectedRealizedVarianceOn plan+OverrideManual reviewMedian TATDominant segmentDominant pathAction required
01 Feb 202624-£2.9K-£497.4£2.4K70.8%20.8%29.2%16.5dVanTrade SaleManual review still dominating settled mix.
Value leakage workbench

Execution Latency

Tracks where turnaround time is suppressing realized value.

Value Leakage AttributionDecision AdherenceExecution LatencyChannel PerformanceOutcome Concentration
Latency bandCasesExpectedRealizedVariance
15-21 days24-£2.9K-£497.4£2.4K
Segment x executed path

Route concentration matrix

Shows where the settled mix and on-plan performance are concentrating inside the active scope.

SegmentManual ReviewTrade SaleDigital RetailAuctionRe-Lease
EV333.3%1100.0%---
Premium10.0%-1100.0%--
SUV10.0%366.7%--1100.0%
Hatchback-3100.0%--1100.0%
Van250.0%580.0%-2100.0%-
Settled decisions

Case-level evidence

Explains how each realized outcome landed without forcing the operator to leave the evidence room.

24 rows in active scope
CaseSettledCustomerAssetOwnerCurrent planExecutedExpectedRealizedVarianceDriverApproval postureWhy this landed here
Case 0347128 Feb 2026Jack MasonFord FiestaSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£89.8£89.8Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0339927 Feb 2026Daniel RobertsTesla Model 3Sophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£303£453£756Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0357626 Feb 2026Leo SinghVolkswagen TransporterSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£397.7£397.7Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0256725 Feb 2026Daniel RobertsVolkswagen TransporterGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£658.4-£658.4Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0323124 Feb 2026Oscar HallKia EV6Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale-£753.2£197.9£951.1Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0281522 Feb 2026Oscar HallTesla Model 3Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£711.2-£353.6£357.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0245221 Feb 2026Theo MurphyNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£770.7£770.7Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0227421 Feb 2026Grace GrahamVolkswagen TransporterSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£755.5£755.5Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0292321 Feb 2026Finley DaviesFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction-£114£351.9£465.9Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0214020 Feb 2026Theo MurphyVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£88.5£88.5Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0288119 Feb 2026Harry CampbellVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£39.5-£39.5Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0236917 Feb 2026George PatelHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£226.3£226.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0280417 Feb 2026Jacob FisherTesla Model 3George PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£992-£1.7K-£735.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0199615 Feb 2026Freya WardMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£129.7£49.8£179.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0181012 Feb 2026Ruby ClarkeKia SportageAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£805-£805Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0307309 Feb 2026Jessica WilsonHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeExtend 6 MonthsRe-Lease£899.6£599.9-£299.7Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Re-Lease replaced extend 6 months. No second-line release required.
Case 0280707 Feb 2026Sophie WalkerMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionAuction£708.1£806.7£98.6Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0341007 Feb 2026Isla TurnerAudi A4George PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£701.4-£923.5-£222Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0183805 Feb 2026Ava KhanMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£684.6-£520.7-£1.2KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0255805 Feb 2026Charlotte WebbHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelDigital RetailManual Review-£1.2K-£917.3£299.8Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0290604 Feb 2026Freya WardFord FiestaGeorge PatelRe-LeaseRe-Lease-£227-£169.9£57.1Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Re-Lease held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0221503 Feb 2026Jessica WilsonMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£481.6£481.6Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0234202 Feb 2026Ella HughesFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£324.4-£324.4Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0277201 Feb 2026Ruby ClarkeAudi A4Sophie BennettDigital RetailDigital Retail£0£672.8£672.8Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.