Outcome evidence

Outcomes

Sponsor-first evidence for realized value, decision adherence, channel execution, and the corrections the operating pack still needs.

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Scope

Cohort focus is pinned to 01 Nov 2025. Use “Return to window” to restore the rolling evidence window.

Evidence board

Cohort 01 Nov 2025

Cohort 01 Nov 2025 settled 19 cases with £-3,432 realized against £1,955 expected, leaving £-5,387 variance; 52.63% landed on plan or better, while override behaviour remains the main leakage driver.

Latest settled cohort01 Mar 2026
Scope nowFocused cohort 01 Nov 2025 / All segments / All executed paths / All channels / All decisions / All outcome bands / 15-21 days
Settled cases19

Cohort 01 Nov 2025 realized outcomes in active scope.

Realized delta vs plan-£3.4K

Value delivered against the current plan at execution.

Variance to expected-£5.4K

Difference between realized delta and the execution-time expectation.

On plan or better52.6%

Settled cases that landed on plan or beat plan.

Override share5.3%

Settled cases executed away from the recommended path.

Manual review share42.1%

Settled cases that ended on the manual review route.

Median turnaround16.0d

Median execution latency from release to settlement.

Cohort performance ledger

Settled performance by cohort

One line per settled cohort month so sponsors can see realized value, decision posture, and where action is now required.

CohortSettledExpectedRealizedVarianceOn plan+OverrideManual reviewMedian TATDominant segmentDominant pathAction required
01 Nov 202519£2K-£3.4K-£5.4K52.6%5.3%42.1%16.0dHatchbackManual ReviewInspect override behaviour.
Value leakage workbench

Execution Latency

Tracks where turnaround time is suppressing realized value.

Value Leakage AttributionDecision AdherenceExecution LatencyChannel PerformanceOutcome Concentration
Latency bandCasesExpectedRealizedVariance
15-21 days19£2K-£3.4K-£5.4K
Segment x executed path

Route concentration matrix

Shows where the settled mix and on-plan performance are concentrating inside the active scope.

SegmentManual ReviewTrade SaleDigital RetailRe-Lease
EV20.0%250.0%--
Premium20.0%---
SUV10.0%1100.0%20.0%1100.0%
Hatchback250.0%4100.0%--
Van1100.0%1100.0%--
Settled decisions

Case-level evidence

Explains how each realized outcome landed without forcing the operator to leave the evidence room.

19 rows in active scope
CaseSettledCustomerAssetOwnerCurrent planExecutedExpectedRealizedVarianceDriverApproval postureWhy this landed here
Case 0310830 Nov 2025Leo SinghTesla Model 3Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£480.5£480.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0343830 Nov 2025Lucas EdwardsTesla Model 3Sophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£662.3-£1.5K-£793Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0307228 Nov 2025Isla TurnerToyota YarisSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£259.2£259.2Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0241623 Nov 2025Oliver PriceAudi A4Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.5K-£770.2£778.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0237023 Nov 2025Isla TurnerKia SportageSophie BennettDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£1.2K-£1.2KSlow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0214622 Nov 2025Leo SinghVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£17.5-£554.6-£572.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0256319 Nov 2025Mia WatsonKia EV6Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£434.3-£434.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0250018 Nov 2025Isla TurnerToyota YarisAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£308.1£308.1Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0346417 Nov 2025Lucas EdwardsMercedes-Benz C 220George PatelAuctionManual Review£2.7K-£482.6-£3.2KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0275416 Nov 2025Oliver PriceNissan QashqaiSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£28.2£28.2Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0203516 Nov 2025Oscar HallMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeAuctionTrade Sale£622.3-£56.9-£679.2Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0354515 Nov 2025Archie TaylorNissan QashqaiGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£420.4-£623.6-£203.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0329812 Nov 2025Jacob FisherFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£201.8£185.4£387.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0202909 Nov 2025Benjamin EllisKia SportageAmelia ClarkeAuctionRe-Lease£1.7K£1.5K-£176.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Re-Lease replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0338709 Nov 2025Oscar HallVolkswagen GolfSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£570.3£570.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0204607 Nov 2025Ava KhanFord FiestaSophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£82.5-£240.9-£158.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0263407 Nov 2025Theo MurphyHyundai Kona ElectricSophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£215.3-£637.2-£421.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0330201 Nov 2025Amelia BennettToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£465.6£465.6Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0346601 Nov 2025Theo MurphyKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£844-£844Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.