Outcome evidence

Outcomes

Sponsor-first evidence for realized value, decision adherence, channel execution, and the corrections the operating pack still needs.

Scope

Cohort focus is pinned to 01 Oct 2025. Use “Return to window” to restore the rolling evidence window.

Evidence board

Cohort 01 Oct 2025

Cohort 01 Oct 2025 settled 22 cases with £-4,908 realized against £-3,774 expected, leaving £-1,134 variance; 54.55% landed on plan or better, while manual exception handling remains the main leakage driver.

Latest settled cohort01 Mar 2026
Scope nowFocused cohort 01 Oct 2025 / All segments / All executed paths / All channels / All decisions / All outcome bands / 15-21 days
Settled cases22

Cohort 01 Oct 2025 realized outcomes in active scope.

Realized delta vs plan-£4.9K

Value delivered against the current plan at execution.

Variance to expected-£1.1K

Difference between realized delta and the execution-time expectation.

On plan or better54.5%

Settled cases that landed on plan or beat plan.

Override share4.5%

Settled cases executed away from the recommended path.

Manual review share45.5%

Settled cases that ended on the manual review route.

Median turnaround17.0d

Median execution latency from release to settlement.

Cohort performance ledger

Settled performance by cohort

One line per settled cohort month so sponsors can see realized value, decision posture, and where action is now required.

CohortSettledExpectedRealizedVarianceOn plan+OverrideManual reviewMedian TATDominant segmentDominant pathAction required
01 Oct 202522-£3.8K-£4.9K-£1.1K54.5%4.5%45.5%17.0dSUVManual ReviewInspect manual exception handling.
Value leakage workbench

Execution Latency

Tracks where turnaround time is suppressing realized value.

Latency bandCasesExpectedRealizedVariance
15-21 days22-£3.8K-£4.9K-£1.1K
Segment x executed path

Route concentration matrix

Shows where the settled mix and on-plan performance are concentrating inside the active scope.

SegmentManual ReviewTrade SaleDigital RetailExtend 6 MonthsRe-Lease
EV10.0%1100.0%-10.0%-
Premium333.3%1100.0%---
SUV30.0%1100.0%10.0%-1100.0%
Hatchback1100.0%333.3%---
Van2100.0%3100.0%---
Settled decisions

Case-level evidence

Explains how each realized outcome landed without forcing the operator to leave the evidence room.

22 rows in active scope
CaseSettledCustomerAssetOwnerCurrent planExecutedExpectedRealizedVarianceDriverApproval postureWhy this landed here
Case 0251829 Oct 2025Jacob FisherVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£231.8-£300.4-£68.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0198426 Oct 2025Theo MurphyKia EV6Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£1K£1KSlow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0331126 Oct 2025Archie TaylorKia SportageGeorge PatelRe-LeaseDigital Retail£291-£403.1-£694.1Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Digital Retail replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0354326 Oct 2025Oscar HallNissan QashqaiSophie BennettDigital RetailManual Review-£1.1K-£1.8K-£778.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0295723 Oct 2025Daniel RobertsVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£517-£517Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0262721 Oct 2025Benjamin EllisToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£13.3£13.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0230720 Oct 2025Daniel RobertsFord Transit CustomSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£451.2£451.2Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0281718 Oct 2025Archie TaylorAudi A4Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£630.3£630.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0339217 Oct 2025Grace GrahamFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review£0-£160.5-£160.5Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0231817 Oct 2025Isla TurnerKia EV6George PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£732.2-£791.2-£59Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0262916 Oct 2025George PatelAudi A4Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.7K-£1.7K£64.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0319014 Oct 2025Ava KhanMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeAuctionTrade Sale£517.8£718.1£200.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0257612 Oct 2025Ella HughesFord Transit CustomGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£40.9£40.9Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0226809 Oct 2025Lucas EdwardsBMW 320dSophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£666.8-£330.3£336.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0332408 Oct 2025Jacob FisherNissan QashqaiSophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£406.9-£612.6-£205.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0348407 Oct 2025Amelia BennettFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£100.3£133£233.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0329907 Oct 2025Lily JenkinsTesla Model 3George PatelRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£665.4-£609.1£56.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0288007 Oct 2025Freya WardToyota YarisSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£762.7-£762.7Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0352802 Oct 2025Ava KhanKia SportageSophie BennettAuctionRe-Lease£1.7K£1.1K-£624.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Re-Lease replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0219101 Oct 2025Oscar HallHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£806.9£806.9Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0183701 Oct 2025Thomas FosterMercedes-Benz C 220Amelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£137-£492.4-£355.4Manual exceptionApprovedManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0358901 Oct 2025Benjamin EllisHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£563-£1.3K-£764.8Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.