Outcome evidence

Outcomes

Sponsor-first evidence for realized value, decision adherence, channel execution, and the corrections the operating pack still needs.

Scope

Cohort focus is pinned to 01 Dec 2025. Use “Return to window” to restore the rolling evidence window.

Evidence board

Cohort 01 Dec 2025

Cohort 01 Dec 2025 settled 89 cases with £-9,275 realized against £-7,880 expected, leaving £-1,394 variance; 66.29% landed on plan or better, while channel underperformance remains the main leakage driver.

Latest settled cohort01 Mar 2026
Scope nowFocused cohort 01 Dec 2025 / All segments / All executed paths / All channels / All decisions / All outcome bands
Settled cases89

Cohort 01 Dec 2025 realized outcomes in active scope.

Realized delta vs plan-£9.3K

Value delivered against the current plan at execution.

Variance to expected-£1.4K

Difference between realized delta and the execution-time expectation.

On plan or better66.3%

Settled cases that landed on plan or beat plan.

Override share14.6%

Settled cases executed away from the recommended path.

Manual review share32.6%

Settled cases that ended on the manual review route.

Median turnaround11.0d

Median execution latency from release to settlement.

Cohort performance ledger

Settled performance by cohort

One line per settled cohort month so sponsors can see realized value, decision posture, and where action is now required.

CohortSettledExpectedRealizedVarianceOn plan+OverrideManual reviewMedian TATDominant segmentDominant pathAction required
01 Dec 202589-£7.9K-£9.3K-£1.4K66.3%14.6%32.6%11.0dSUVTrade SaleManual review still dominating settled mix.
Value leakage workbench

Outcome Concentration

Shows where the settled mix is clustering across bands and routes.

Outcome bandCasesExpectedRealizedVariance
Underperformed30-£10.2K-£25.8K-£15.6K
On Plan39-£2K-£861.8£1.2K
Outperformed20£4.4K£17.4K£13.1K
Segment x executed path

Route concentration matrix

Shows where the settled mix and on-plan performance are concentrating inside the active scope.

SegmentManual ReviewTrade SaleDigital RetailAuctionExtend 6 MonthsRe-Lease
EV30.0%20.0%----
Premium520.0%4100.0%560.0%1100.0%10.0%1100.0%
SUV1346.1%1060.0%4100.0%--1100.0%
Hatchback580.0%1788.2%--10.0%-
Van366.7%1283.3%-1100.0%--
Settled decisions

Case-level evidence

Explains how each realized outcome landed without forcing the operator to leave the evidence room.

89 rows in active scope
CaseSettledCustomerAssetOwnerCurrent planExecutedExpectedRealizedVarianceDriverApproval postureWhy this landed here
Case 0227331 Dec 2025Finley DaviesAudi A4George PatelExtend 6 MonthsRe-Lease£1.3K£1.5K£164Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Re-Lease replaced extend 6 months. No second-line release required.
Case 0310331 Dec 2025Archie TaylorMercedes-Benz C 220Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0£154.8£154.8Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0280331 Dec 2025Harry CampbellHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeRe-LeaseRe-Lease-£881.1-£119.8£761.3Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Re-Lease held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0188331 Dec 2025Finley DaviesMercedes-Benz C 220George PatelDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£783.6-£783.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0286931 Dec 2025Archie TaylorHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£557.8-£930.9-£1.5KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0240530 Dec 2025Jack MasonVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£378.2-£378.2Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0277830 Dec 2025Jacob FisherHyundai TucsonSophie BennettDigital RetailManual Review-£1.2K-£1.9K-£650.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0202629 Dec 2025Oliver PriceVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£757.3£757.3Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0324029 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeVolkswagen GolfSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£306.5-£306.5Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0340928 Dec 2025George PatelKia SportageAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£778.1-£778.1Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0297627 Dec 2025Grace GrahamBMW 320dSophie BennettDigital RetailManual Review-£1.6K-£1.1K£457.6Manual exceptionApprovedManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0275226 Dec 2025Jacob FisherVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction£782.1£679.4-£102.7Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0326726 Dec 2025Thomas FosterToyota YarisSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£31.1-£31.1Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0244825 Dec 2025Isla TurnerHyundai TucsonSophie BennettDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£304.9-£304.9Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0296225 Dec 2025Oliver PriceFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£685.6-£685.6Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0316424 Dec 2025Ava KhanMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£120.7-£104£16.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0256624 Dec 2025Ava KhanHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£207.3-£1K-£826.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0353523 Dec 2025Sophie WalkerFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£53.7-£212.5-£266.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0259022 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£679.8-£120.8-£800.6Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0222822 Dec 2025Ava KhanFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£150.1-£150.1Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0236022 Dec 2025Freya WardMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£634.6-£303.4£331.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0250322 Dec 2025Oscar HallKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.2K-£1.3K-£151.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0358121 Dec 2025Daniel RobertsKia SportageGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£164.6£164.6Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0305821 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail-£299.2£75.3£374.4Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0189820 Dec 2025Amelia BennettFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£182.3£182.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0219920 Dec 2025Mia WatsonAudi A4Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£161.2£161.2Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0272818 Dec 2025Oliver PriceFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£260.1£260.1Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0272718 Dec 2025Lily JenkinsHyundai TucsonSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£572.8-£572.8Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0280018 Dec 2025Ava KhanTesla Model 3Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£623.7-£1.2K-£567.3Manual exceptionApprovedManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0262217 Dec 2025Jacob FisherFord FiestaSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£256.5-£256.5Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0278617 Dec 2025Isla TurnerHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£480.5-£480.5Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0191116 Dec 2025Jack MasonMercedes-Benz VitoSophie BennettAuctionTrade Sale£625.5£1.1K£442.1Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0357816 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£279.8£279.8Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0350516 Dec 2025Harry CampbellTesla Model 3Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£445.2-£445.2Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0261016 Dec 2025Charlotte WebbKia SportageSophie BennettDigital RetailManual Review-£1.2K-£1.1K£57.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0217215 Dec 2025Leo SinghToyota YarisSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£252.1£252.1Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0183515 Dec 2025Mia WatsonFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£146.8-£146.8Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0332115 Dec 2025Daniel RobertsVolkswagen GolfSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£192.3-£192.3Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0229915 Dec 2025Finley DaviesHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£364.5-£364.5Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0254714 Dec 2025Sophie WalkerVolkswagen TransporterSophie BennettAuctionTrade Sale£895.5£1.7K£765.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0198714 Dec 2025Finley DaviesFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£236.1-£836.7-£600.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0242513 Dec 2025Oscar HallNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£841.9£841.9Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0206713 Dec 2025Jack MasonNissan QashqaiSophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£45£542£587Manual exceptionApprovedManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0247913 Dec 2025Archie TaylorVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeAuctionTrade Sale£516.2£169.2-£347.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0216913 Dec 2025Finley DaviesNissan QashqaiSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£128.3-£128.3Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0280912 Dec 2025Benjamin EllisNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£127.2£556.5£683.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0242712 Dec 2025Archie TaylorVolkswagen TransporterSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£812-£812Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0314612 Dec 2025Amelia BennettKia SportageGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£898.5-£898.5Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0293211 Dec 2025Freya WardKia SportageAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£903.8£903.8Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0320110 Dec 2025George PatelMercedes-Benz VitoSophie BennettAuctionTrade Sale£877.9£778-£99.8Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0271709 Dec 2025Jack MasonMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionTrade Sale£795.6£1.6K£793Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0295209 Dec 2025Leo SinghKia SportageSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale-£442.8£533.1£975.9Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0200509 Dec 2025George PatelMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£273.6£273.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0348209 Dec 2025Oliver PriceHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£84.1£247.9£332Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0348609 Dec 2025Ella HughesVolkswagen GolfSophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£92£82£173.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0255209 Dec 2025Isla TurnerNissan QashqaiGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£52.1-£2.6£49.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0336909 Dec 2025Mia WatsonNissan QashqaiSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£144.3-£144.3Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0352308 Dec 2025Jack MasonBMW 320dAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£1K£1KApproved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0349908 Dec 2025Mia WatsonKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0£684.8£684.8Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0223008 Dec 2025Freya WardFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£414.8£414.8Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0196208 Dec 2025Grace GrahamKia SportageSophie BennettDigital RetailManual Review-£1.4K-£1.3K£68.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0292607 Dec 2025Leo SinghMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale-£638.6-£147.5£491Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0181407 Dec 2025Freya WardVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£626.5-£626.5Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0207206 Dec 2025Ava KhanMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionTrade Sale£826.3£1K£211.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0190606 Dec 2025Theo MurphyFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£154.7£154.7Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0270006 Dec 2025Jacob FisherKia EV6Sophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£736-£757.6-£21.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0310706 Dec 2025Jack MasonBMW 320dGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£863.6-£990-£1.9KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0264905 Dec 2025Lily JenkinsVolkswagen TransporterSophie BennettAuctionTrade Sale£585.5£770.6£185.1Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0272005 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeBMW 320dGeorge PatelAuctionAuction£816.3£88.3-£727.9Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0226305 Dec 2025Benjamin EllisNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£45.6-£31.9£13.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0339705 Dec 2025Thomas FosterBMW 320dAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£63.9-£63.9Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0314005 Dec 2025Freya WardFord FiestaGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£760.6-£382.6-£1.1KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0307805 Dec 2025Charlotte WebbToyota YarisSophie BennettRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£323.9-£496.1-£172.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0349505 Dec 2025Finley DaviesMercedes-Benz C 220Sophie BennettDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£721-£721Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0270105 Dec 2025Lily JenkinsKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.2K-£785.4£375.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0250605 Dec 2025Charlotte WebbHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£372.3-£802.2-£429.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0288404 Dec 2025Oliver PriceVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£372.5-£264.6-£637.1Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0293303 Dec 2025Harry CampbellMercedes-Benz C 220George PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£964.6£964.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0231703 Dec 2025George PatelAudi A4Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.6K£591.7£2.2KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0243002 Dec 2025Grace GrahamMercedes-Benz C 220Sophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£165.5£512.9£678.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0191902 Dec 2025Harry CampbellVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£165£165Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0304302 Dec 2025Benjamin EllisToyota YarisAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£210.4-£261-£50.6Manual exceptionApprovedManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0247602 Dec 2025Lucas EdwardsMercedes-Benz C 220Amelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£307.9-£791-£483.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0305001 Dec 2025Theo MurphyFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£60.5£60.5Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0303101 Dec 2025Mia WatsonKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.4K-£24.7£1.4KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0354201 Dec 2025Lucas EdwardsBMW 320dGeorge PatelDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£138.9-£138.9Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0254201 Dec 2025Freya WardVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£176.7-£176.7Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0214401 Dec 2025Grace GrahamAudi A4George PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£726.4-£1.2K-£504Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0328101 Dec 2025Jessica WilsonMercedes-Benz C 220George PatelRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£1.1K-£1.3K-£140Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.