Outcome evidence

Outcomes

Sponsor-first evidence for realized value, decision adherence, channel execution, and the corrections the operating pack still needs.

Scope
Evidence board

Last 6 cohorts

Last 6 cohorts settled 47 cases with £-4,316 realized against £-1,619 expected, leaving £-2,696 variance; 70.21% landed on plan or better, while override behaviour remains the main leakage driver.

Latest settled cohort01 Mar 2026
Scope nowLast 6 cohorts / All segments / All executed paths / All channels / Overridden path / All outcome bands
Settled cases47

Last 6 cohorts realized outcomes in active scope.

Realized delta vs plan-£4.3K

Value delivered against the current plan at execution.

Variance to expected-£2.7K

Difference between realized delta and the execution-time expectation.

On plan or better70.2%

Settled cases that landed on plan or beat plan.

Override share100.0%

Settled cases executed away from the recommended path.

Manual review share34.0%

Settled cases that ended on the manual review route.

Median turnaround9.0d

Median execution latency from release to settlement.

Cohort performance ledger

Settled performance by cohort

One line per settled cohort month so sponsors can see realized value, decision posture, and where action is now required.

CohortSettledExpectedRealizedVarianceOn plan+OverrideManual reviewMedian TATDominant segmentDominant pathAction required
01 Mar 20263£90.2£1.3K£1.2K100.0%100.0%0.0%13.0dPremiumAuctionPerformance holding close to plan.
01 Feb 20269£1.2K-£1.4K-£2.7K55.6%100.0%33.3%15.0dVanAuctionManual review still dominating settled mix.
01 Jan 20269-£2.7K-£3.1K-£473.555.6%100.0%11.1%7.0dSUVAuctionPerformance holding close to plan.
01 Dec 202513-£409.4-£1K-£603.876.9%100.0%38.5%9.0dSUVManual ReviewManual review still dominating settled mix.
01 Nov 20257-£377.8£679.8£1.1K71.4%100.0%42.9%9.0dPremiumManual ReviewManual review still dominating settled mix.
01 Oct 20256£521.4-£706.2-£1.2K83.3%100.0%66.7%11.0dSUVManual ReviewManual review still dominating settled mix.
Value leakage workbench

Channel Performance

Shows the realized value and utilization mix by execution channel.

ChannelCasesUtilizationRealizedVariance
Auction141.1%-£279-£3.7K
Digital Retail60.7%-£199.7£7.4K
Trade Sale70.9%£1.8K£6.2K
Segment x executed path

Route concentration matrix

Shows where the settled mix and on-plan performance are concentrating inside the active scope.

SegmentManual ReviewTrade SaleDigital RetailAuctionRe-Lease
EV10.0%3100.0%--10.0%
Premium20.0%1100.0%250.0%366.7%-
SUV560.0%1100.0%4100.0%450.0%2100.0%
Hatchback683.3%---1100.0%
Van250.0%2100.0%-771.4%-
Settled decisions

Case-level evidence

Explains how each realized outcome landed without forcing the operator to leave the evidence room.

47 rows in active scope
CaseSettledCustomerAssetOwnerCurrent planExecutedExpectedRealizedVarianceDriverApproval postureWhy this landed here
Case 0274813 Mar 2026Ava KhanAudi A4Sophie BennettAuctionAuction-£476.9£746.2£1.2KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0323004 Mar 2026Lucas EdwardsNissan QashqaiGeorge PatelAuctionAuction-£26.8£367.3£394.1Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0209001 Mar 2026Charlotte WebbMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionAuction£593.9£187.7-£406.2Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0194628 Feb 2026Jacob FisherAudi A4George PatelAuctionAuction-£153.4-£392.6-£239.2Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0323124 Feb 2026Oscar HallKia EV6Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale-£753.2£197.9£951.1Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0292321 Feb 2026Finley DaviesFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction-£114£351.9£465.9Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0277521 Feb 2026Daniel RobertsFord Transit CustomSophie BennettAuctionAuction£785.4-£785.4-£1.6KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0224520 Feb 2026Archie TaylorFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£286.6-£67.3-£353.9Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0204708 Feb 2026Daniel RobertsHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review£0-£863.6-£863.6Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0280707 Feb 2026Sophie WalkerMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionAuction£708.1£806.7£98.6Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0183805 Feb 2026Ava KhanMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£684.6-£520.7-£1.2KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0290604 Feb 2026Freya WardFord FiestaGeorge PatelRe-LeaseRe-Lease-£227-£169.9£57.1Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Re-Lease held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0297030 Jan 2026Lucas EdwardsMercedes-Benz C 220Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale-£748.4£486.2£1.2KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0306730 Jan 2026Sophie WalkerHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeRe-LeaseRe-Lease-£596.1-£646-£49.9Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Re-Lease held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0201427 Jan 2026Grace GrahamNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction-£172.7-£783.3-£610.6Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0250523 Jan 2026Archie TaylorNissan QashqaiSophie BennettAuctionAuction-£50.7-£182.1-£131.4Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0208223 Jan 2026Ella HughesKia SportageSophie BennettAuctionAuction-£99.9-£406.3-£306.4Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0334622 Jan 2026Ava KhanVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction£1.1K-£1.3K-£2.4KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0334417 Jan 2026Ruby ClarkeKia SportageGeorge PatelDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.5K-£53.8£1.4KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0211311 Jan 2026Oscar HallNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review£0-£136.3-£136.3Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0304107 Jan 2026Sophie WalkerHyundai Kona ElectricGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale-£576.6-£84.5£492.1Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0280331 Dec 2025Harry CampbellHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeRe-LeaseRe-Lease-£881.1-£119.8£761.3Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Re-Lease held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0286931 Dec 2025Archie TaylorHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£557.8-£930.9-£1.5KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0275226 Dec 2025Jacob FisherVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction£782.1£679.4-£102.7Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0259022 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£679.8-£120.8-£800.6Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0305821 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail-£299.2£75.3£374.4Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0295209 Dec 2025Leo SinghKia SportageSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale-£442.8£533.1£975.9Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0292607 Dec 2025Leo SinghMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale-£638.6-£147.5£491Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0310706 Dec 2025Jack MasonBMW 320dGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£863.6-£990-£1.9KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0272005 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeBMW 320dGeorge PatelAuctionAuction£816.3£88.3-£727.9Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0314005 Dec 2025Freya WardFord FiestaGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£760.6-£382.6-£1.1KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0288404 Dec 2025Oliver PriceVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£372.5-£264.6-£637.1Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0231703 Dec 2025George PatelAudi A4Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.6K£591.7£2.2KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0303101 Dec 2025Mia WatsonKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.4K-£24.7£1.4KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0326129 Nov 2025Finley DaviesMercedes-Benz C 220Sophie BennettDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.7K-£709.6£974.2Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0283325 Nov 2025Sophie WalkerHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale-£656.5£297.3£953.7Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0212924 Nov 2025Lily JenkinsFord Transit CustomGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale-£559.9£550.1£1.1KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0346417 Nov 2025Lucas EdwardsMercedes-Benz C 220George PatelAuctionManual Review£2.7K-£482.6-£3.2KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0335913 Nov 2025Jessica WilsonHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelRe-LeaseRe-Lease-£1K£393.3£1.4KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Re-Lease held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0287710 Nov 2025Thomas FosterToyota YarisSophie BennettAuctionManual Review£252.5£382.9£130.4Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0304503 Nov 2025George PatelVolkswagen TransporterSophie BennettAuctionManual Review£543£248.6-£294.5Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0285428 Oct 2025Freya WardHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£2.1K£545.2-£1.5KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0246825 Oct 2025Oliver PriceFord FiestaGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£177£524.3£347.3Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0339217 Oct 2025Grace GrahamFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review£0-£160.5-£160.5Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0315511 Oct 2025Archie TaylorKia SportageGeorge PatelDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.2K-£78.4£1.1KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0246106 Oct 2025Thomas FosterMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction-£254.9£371.3£626.3Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0268003 Oct 2025Ella HughesNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£310.7-£1.9K-£1.6KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.