Outcome evidence

Outcomes

Sponsor-first evidence for realized value, decision adherence, channel execution, and the corrections the operating pack still needs.

Scope

Cohort focus is pinned to 01 Nov 2025. Use “Return to window” to restore the rolling evidence window.

Evidence board

Cohort 01 Nov 2025

Cohort 01 Nov 2025 settled 75 cases with £-16,642 realized against £-14,442 expected, leaving £-2,200 variance; 58.67% landed on plan or better, while channel underperformance remains the main leakage driver.

Latest settled cohort01 Mar 2026
Scope nowFocused cohort 01 Nov 2025 / All segments / All executed paths / All channels / All decisions / All outcome bands
Settled cases75

Cohort 01 Nov 2025 realized outcomes in active scope.

Realized delta vs plan-£16.6K

Value delivered against the current plan at execution.

Variance to expected-£2.2K

Difference between realized delta and the execution-time expectation.

On plan or better58.7%

Settled cases that landed on plan or beat plan.

Override share9.3%

Settled cases executed away from the recommended path.

Manual review share38.7%

Settled cases that ended on the manual review route.

Median turnaround11.0d

Median execution latency from release to settlement.

Cohort performance ledger

Settled performance by cohort

One line per settled cohort month so sponsors can see realized value, decision posture, and where action is now required.

CohortSettledExpectedRealizedVarianceOn plan+OverrideManual reviewMedian TATDominant segmentDominant pathAction required
01 Nov 202575-£14.4K-£16.6K-£2.2K58.7%9.3%38.7%11.0dHatchbackTrade SaleManual review still dominating settled mix.
Value leakage workbench

Channel Performance

Shows the realized value and utilization mix by execution channel.

ChannelCasesUtilizationRealizedVariance
Digital Retail60.7%-£2.8K-£1.1K
Trade Sale364.7%£2.3K£1.2K
Segment x executed path

Route concentration matrix

Shows where the settled mix and on-plan performance are concentrating inside the active scope.

SegmentManual ReviewTrade SaleDigital RetailExtend 6 MonthsRe-Lease
EV616.7%757.1%-1100.0%-
Premium728.6%1100.0%250.0%10.0%-
SUV633.3%475.0%425.0%-2100.0%
Hatchback366.7%1675.0%---
Van771.4%887.5%---
Settled decisions

Case-level evidence

Explains how each realized outcome landed without forcing the operator to leave the evidence room.

75 rows in active scope
CaseSettledCustomerAssetOwnerCurrent planExecutedExpectedRealizedVarianceDriverApproval postureWhy this landed here
Case 0291130 Nov 2025Sophie WalkerVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeAuctionTrade Sale£627.7£620.2-£7.5Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0310830 Nov 2025Leo SinghTesla Model 3Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£480.5£480.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0287830 Nov 2025Ava KhanKia SportageAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£300.9£300.9Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0343830 Nov 2025Lucas EdwardsTesla Model 3Sophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£662.3-£1.5K-£793Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0339629 Nov 2025Ruby ClarkeMercedes-Benz VitoSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£564-£564Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0326129 Nov 2025Finley DaviesMercedes-Benz C 220Sophie BennettDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.7K-£709.6£974.2Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0299629 Nov 2025Lucas EdwardsKia SportageGeorge PatelDigital RetailManual Review-£1.2K-£1.9K-£674.8Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0307228 Nov 2025Isla TurnerToyota YarisSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£259.2£259.2Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0283628 Nov 2025Ella HughesToyota YarisAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£113.8-£113.8Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0308128 Nov 2025Jack MasonFord FiestaSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£374.3-£374.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0320526 Nov 2025Oscar HallMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£761.7£761.7Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0210626 Nov 2025Amelia BennettToyota YarisSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£595-£595Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0220626 Nov 2025Jacob FisherVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£615.3-£1.1K-£451.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0283325 Nov 2025Sophie WalkerHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale-£656.5£297.3£953.7Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0325625 Nov 2025Lucas EdwardsKia SportageAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£425.4-£89.1£336.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0300625 Nov 2025Ruby ClarkeTesla Model 3Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£867.1-£867.1Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0210425 Nov 2025Oliver PriceHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.5K-£1.7K-£185.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0200124 Nov 2025Sophie WalkerAudi A4Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£683.7£683.7Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0212924 Nov 2025Lily JenkinsFord Transit CustomGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale-£559.9£550.1£1.1KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0298024 Nov 2025Ruby ClarkeHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£562.8-£442.2£120.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0313824 Nov 2025Ava KhanMercedes-Benz C 220Sophie BennettDigital RetailManual Review-£1.7K-£1K£667.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0206623 Nov 2025Grace GrahamMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£136.6£329.9£466.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0241623 Nov 2025Oliver PriceAudi A4Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.5K-£770.2£778.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0237023 Nov 2025Isla TurnerKia SportageSophie BennettDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£1.2K-£1.2KSlow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0277622 Nov 2025Freya WardToyota YarisAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£72.7£72.7Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0292722 Nov 2025Mia WatsonKia EV6George PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£273.2-£273.2Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0214622 Nov 2025Leo SinghVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£17.5-£554.6-£572.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0213121 Nov 2025Sophie WalkerAudi A4Amelia ClarkeRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£1.1K-£2K-£900.1Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0327320 Nov 2025Lily JenkinsKia SportageSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£425.4£425.4Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0256319 Nov 2025Mia WatsonKia EV6Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£434.3-£434.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0342519 Nov 2025Daniel RobertsFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£465.7-£465.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0250018 Nov 2025Isla TurnerToyota YarisAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£308.1£308.1Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0329717 Nov 2025Harry CampbellVolkswagen TransporterSophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£599.4-£335£264.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0346417 Nov 2025Lucas EdwardsMercedes-Benz C 220George PatelAuctionManual Review£2.7K-£482.6-£3.2KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0275416 Nov 2025Oliver PriceNissan QashqaiSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£28.2£28.2Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0305716 Nov 2025Mia WatsonNissan QashqaiSophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£49.6£23.3£72.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0203516 Nov 2025Oscar HallMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeAuctionTrade Sale£622.3-£56.9-£679.2Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0187415 Nov 2025Ella HughesMercedes-Benz C 220George PatelDigital RetailDigital Retail£0£537.9£537.9Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0354515 Nov 2025Archie TaylorNissan QashqaiGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£420.4-£623.6-£203.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0283914 Nov 2025Jessica WilsonTesla Model 3Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£669.8-£255.5£414.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0259914 Nov 2025Sophie WalkerVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£140.8-£650.3-£509.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0335913 Nov 2025Jessica WilsonHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelRe-LeaseRe-Lease-£1K£393.3£1.4KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Re-Lease held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0329812 Nov 2025Jacob FisherFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£201.8£185.4£387.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0347612 Nov 2025Ava KhanHyundai Kona ElectricGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£554.7-£350.9£203.8Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0338812 Nov 2025Theo MurphyBMW 320dAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.6K-£2.1K-£403Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0325811 Nov 2025Theo MurphyHyundai TucsonSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£1.1K-£1.1KChannel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0287710 Nov 2025Thomas FosterToyota YarisSophie BennettAuctionManual Review£252.5£382.9£130.4Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0326910 Nov 2025Daniel RobertsToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£376.3£376.3Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0338310 Nov 2025George PatelMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£84.8£185.7£270.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0281310 Nov 2025Jessica WilsonHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£42.2-£42.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0202909 Nov 2025Benjamin EllisKia SportageAmelia ClarkeAuctionRe-Lease£1.7K£1.5K-£176.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Re-Lease replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0338709 Nov 2025Oscar HallVolkswagen GolfSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£570.3£570.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0293409 Nov 2025Jacob FisherBMW 320dSophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£204.9-£26.5£178.5Manual exceptionApprovedManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0341709 Nov 2025Finley DaviesFord FiestaSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£350.5-£350.5Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0227108 Nov 2025Archie TaylorKia EV6Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£755.9£755.9Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0261308 Nov 2025Jack MasonVolkswagen GolfSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£552.2£552.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0296908 Nov 2025Jessica WilsonFord Transit CustomGeorge PatelAuctionTrade Sale£640.7-£95.9-£736.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0324907 Nov 2025Sophie WalkerMercedes-Benz VitoSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£372.5£372.5Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0204607 Nov 2025Ava KhanFord FiestaSophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£82.5-£240.9-£158.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0207007 Nov 2025Ruby ClarkeNissan QashqaiSophie BennettDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£593.3-£593.3Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0263407 Nov 2025Theo MurphyHyundai Kona ElectricSophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£215.3-£637.2-£421.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0285206 Nov 2025Ava KhanToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£60.3£60.3Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0343705 Nov 2025Jessica WilsonBMW 320dGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£228.2£140.5£368.7Manual exceptionApprovedManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0287405 Nov 2025Leo SinghHyundai TucsonSophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£649.9-£710.4-£60.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0235404 Nov 2025Leo SinghHyundai Kona ElectricGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£802.5-£802.5Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0204004 Nov 2025Grace GrahamHyundai Kona ElectricSophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£570.6-£1K-£459.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0304503 Nov 2025George PatelVolkswagen TransporterSophie BennettAuctionManual Review£543£248.6-£294.5Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0217603 Nov 2025Ava KhanMercedes-Benz C 220Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.7K-£1.7K£13.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0354102 Nov 2025Jessica WilsonToyota YarisAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£410.7£410.7Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0239402 Nov 2025Ella HughesFord Transit CustomSophie BennettAuctionTrade Sale£507.7£103.9-£403.8Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0330201 Nov 2025Amelia BennettToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£465.6£465.6Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0357701 Nov 2025Mia WatsonKia EV6Amelia ClarkeRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£706.4£460.9£1.2KApproved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0307401 Nov 2025Lucas EdwardsVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£64.2£64.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0191401 Nov 2025Ruby ClarkeFord FiestaSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£120.3-£120.3Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0346601 Nov 2025Theo MurphyKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£844-£844Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.