Outcome evidence

Outcomes

Sponsor-first evidence for realized value, decision adherence, channel execution, and the corrections the operating pack still needs.

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Scope

Cohort focus is pinned to 01 Feb 2026. Use “Return to window” to restore the rolling evidence window.

Evidence board

Cohort 01 Feb 2026

Cohort 01 Feb 2026 settled 9 cases with £-1,443 realized against £1,217 expected, leaving £-2,660 variance; 55.56% landed on plan or better, while override behaviour remains the main leakage driver.

Latest settled cohort01 Mar 2026
Scope nowFocused cohort 01 Feb 2026 / All segments / All executed paths / All channels / Overridden path / All outcome bands
Settled cases9

Cohort 01 Feb 2026 realized outcomes in active scope.

Realized delta vs plan-£1.4K

Value delivered against the current plan at execution.

Variance to expected-£2.7K

Difference between realized delta and the execution-time expectation.

On plan or better55.6%

Settled cases that landed on plan or beat plan.

Override share100.0%

Settled cases executed away from the recommended path.

Manual review share33.3%

Settled cases that ended on the manual review route.

Median turnaround15.0d

Median execution latency from release to settlement.

Cohort performance ledger

Settled performance by cohort

One line per settled cohort month so sponsors can see realized value, decision posture, and where action is now required.

CohortSettledExpectedRealizedVarianceOn plan+OverrideManual reviewMedian TATDominant segmentDominant pathAction required
01 Feb 20269£1.2K-£1.4K-£2.7K55.6%100.0%33.3%15.0dVanAuctionManual review still dominating settled mix.
Value leakage workbench

Decision Adherence

Shows whether realized performance came from approved execution or overrides.

Value Leakage AttributionDecision AdherenceExecution LatencyChannel PerformanceOutcome Concentration
Decision postureCasesExpectedRealizedVariance
Overridden path9£1.2K-£1.4K-£2.7K
Segment x executed path

Route concentration matrix

Shows where the settled mix and on-plan performance are concentrating inside the active scope.

SegmentManual ReviewTrade SaleAuctionRe-Lease
EV10.0%1100.0%--
Premium--10.0%-
Hatchback1100.0%--1100.0%
Van10.0%-366.7%-
Settled decisions

Case-level evidence

Explains how each realized outcome landed without forcing the operator to leave the evidence room.

9 rows in active scope
CaseSettledCustomerAssetOwnerCurrent planExecutedExpectedRealizedVarianceDriverApproval postureWhy this landed here
Case 0194628 Feb 2026Jacob FisherAudi A4George PatelAuctionAuction-£153.4-£392.6-£239.2Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0323124 Feb 2026Oscar HallKia EV6Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale-£753.2£197.9£951.1Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0292321 Feb 2026Finley DaviesFord Transit CustomAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction-£114£351.9£465.9Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0277521 Feb 2026Daniel RobertsFord Transit CustomSophie BennettAuctionAuction£785.4-£785.4-£1.6KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0224520 Feb 2026Archie TaylorFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£286.6-£67.3-£353.9Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0204708 Feb 2026Daniel RobertsHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review£0-£863.6-£863.6Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0280707 Feb 2026Sophie WalkerMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionAuction£708.1£806.7£98.6Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0183805 Feb 2026Ava KhanMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£684.6-£520.7-£1.2KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0290604 Feb 2026Freya WardFord FiestaGeorge PatelRe-LeaseRe-Lease-£227-£169.9£57.1Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Re-Lease held through execution. Released by validator before execution.