Outcome evidence

Outcomes

Sponsor-first evidence for realized value, decision adherence, channel execution, and the corrections the operating pack still needs.

Scope

Cohort focus is pinned to 01 Jan 2026. Use “Return to window” to restore the rolling evidence window.

Evidence board

Cohort 01 Jan 2026

Cohort 01 Jan 2026 settled 79 cases with £-21,599 realized against £-21,504 expected, leaving £-95 variance; 59.49% landed on plan or better, while channel underperformance remains the main leakage driver.

Latest settled cohort01 Mar 2026
Scope nowFocused cohort 01 Jan 2026 / All segments / All executed paths / All channels / All decisions / All outcome bands
Settled cases79

Cohort 01 Jan 2026 realized outcomes in active scope.

Realized delta vs plan-£21.6K

Value delivered against the current plan at execution.

Variance to expected-£95

Difference between realized delta and the execution-time expectation.

On plan or better59.5%

Settled cases that landed on plan or beat plan.

Override share11.4%

Settled cases executed away from the recommended path.

Manual review share44.3%

Settled cases that ended on the manual review route.

Median turnaround10.0d

Median execution latency from release to settlement.

Cohort performance ledger

Settled performance by cohort

One line per settled cohort month so sponsors can see realized value, decision posture, and where action is now required.

CohortSettledExpectedRealizedVarianceOn plan+OverrideManual reviewMedian TATDominant segmentDominant pathAction required
01 Jan 202679-£21.5K-£21.6K-£9559.5%11.4%44.3%10.0dHatchbackManual ReviewManual review still dominating settled mix.
Value leakage workbench

Decision Adherence

Shows whether realized performance came from approved execution or overrides.

Decision postureCasesExpectedRealizedVariance
Approved path70-£18.8K-£18.5K£378.5
Overridden path9-£2.7K-£3.1K-£473.5
Segment x executed path

Route concentration matrix

Shows where the settled mix and on-plan performance are concentrating inside the active scope.

SegmentManual ReviewTrade SaleDigital RetailAuctionExtend 6 MonthsRe-Lease
EV616.7%5100.0%---10.0%
Premium825.0%475.0%10.0%-20.0%-
SUV1241.7%3100.0%250.0%333.3%--
Hatchback3100.0%1693.8%--10.0%1100.0%
Van650.0%4100.0%-10.0%--
Settled decisions

Case-level evidence

Explains how each realized outcome landed without forcing the operator to leave the evidence room.

79 rows in active scope
CaseSettledCustomerAssetOwnerCurrent planExecutedExpectedRealizedVarianceDriverApproval postureWhy this landed here
Case 0189231 Jan 2026Freya WardHyundai Kona ElectricGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£437.4£437.4Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0274131 Jan 2026Finley DaviesFord Transit CustomGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£553.5-£571.4-£17.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0308831 Jan 2026Freya WardMercedes-Benz C 220Amelia ClarkeRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£1.2K-£2.1K-£932.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0297030 Jan 2026Lucas EdwardsMercedes-Benz C 220Sophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale-£748.4£486.2£1.2KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0225430 Jan 2026Ava KhanFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£93.2£93.2Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0306730 Jan 2026Sophie WalkerHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeRe-LeaseRe-Lease-£596.1-£646-£49.9Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Re-Lease held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0295629 Jan 2026Ava KhanKia SportageAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£9.1£9.1Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0196329 Jan 2026Jack MasonBMW 320dAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£138.3-£133.1£5.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0308429 Jan 2026Ruby ClarkeBMW 320dSophie BennettDigital RetailManual Review-£1.6K-£2.1K-£480.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0302328 Jan 2026Oscar HallHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelDigital RetailManual Review-£1.2K-£1.2K-£1.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0312227 Jan 2026Ella HughesVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£675.1£675.1Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0201427 Jan 2026Grace GrahamNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction-£172.7-£783.3-£610.6Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0216726 Jan 2026Archie TaylorAudi A4Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£603.9-£624.6-£20.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0240426 Jan 2026Grace GrahamMercedes-Benz C 220Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£629.5-£629.5Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0225525 Jan 2026Daniel RobertsMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£130.2£285.1£415.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0188225 Jan 2026Charlotte WebbVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£198.4-£154.3£44.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0207825 Jan 2026Oliver PriceFord FiestaGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£180.4-£180.4Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0187125 Jan 2026Sophie WalkerNissan QashqaiGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£471-£730.1-£259.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0293623 Jan 2026Oliver PriceVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£17.4-£17.4Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0250523 Jan 2026Archie TaylorNissan QashqaiSophie BennettAuctionAuction-£50.7-£182.1-£131.4Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0208223 Jan 2026Ella HughesKia SportageSophie BennettAuctionAuction-£99.9-£406.3-£306.4Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0251922 Jan 2026Lily JenkinsHyundai Kona ElectricGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£517.8£517.8Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0243122 Jan 2026Jack MasonNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£176.6£270.3£446.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0279022 Jan 2026Theo MurphyFord FiestaSophie BennettAuctionTrade Sale£200.3-£50.1-£250.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0273322 Jan 2026George PatelKia EV6Sophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£745.7-£194.9£550.8Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0334622 Jan 2026Ava KhanVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction£1.1K-£1.3K-£2.4KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0240222 Jan 2026Charlotte WebbMercedes-Benz C 220George PatelDigital RetailManual Review-£2K-£2.1K-£126.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0304021 Jan 2026Oliver PriceToyota YarisAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleRe-Lease£500.1£1.3K£756.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Re-Lease replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0220521 Jan 2026Harry CampbellHyundai TucsonSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£395.7£395.7Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0229321 Jan 2026Jessica WilsonBMW 320dAmelia ClarkeRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£1.3K-£1.3K-£85.8Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0215020 Jan 2026Ava KhanVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelAuctionTrade Sale£264.6£2.9-£261.8Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0265320 Jan 2026Benjamin EllisHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£536.9-£536.9Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0206219 Jan 2026Theo MurphyVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeAuctionTrade Sale£242.8£405.4£162.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0274319 Jan 2026Jack MasonHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.3K-£744.7£590.1Manual exceptionApprovedManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0301118 Jan 2026Harry CampbellMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£891.1£891.1Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0207718 Jan 2026Lily JenkinsNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£418.1-£340.9£77.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0231618 Jan 2026Ella HughesNissan QashqaiSophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£559.8-£806.3-£246.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0271617 Jan 2026Grace GrahamHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeAuctionTrade Sale£689.4£598.3-£91.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0334417 Jan 2026Ruby ClarkeKia SportageGeorge PatelDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.5K-£53.8£1.4KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0249417 Jan 2026Oliver PriceToyota YarisAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£129.4-£129.4Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0213517 Jan 2026George PatelVolkswagen TransporterGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£112-£421.2-£309.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0205616 Jan 2026Ella HughesFord FiestaAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£322.4£322.4Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0309616 Jan 2026Ella HughesToyota YarisSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£437.3-£437.3Slow executionNot requiredSlow execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0228916 Jan 2026Benjamin EllisHyundai Kona ElectricSophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£493.3-£782.8-£289.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0261515 Jan 2026Mia WatsonToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£1-£1Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0342615 Jan 2026Freya WardTesla Model 3Sophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£658.8-£688-£29.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0212215 Jan 2026Ruby ClarkeBMW 320dAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail£0-£872-£872Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Digital Retail held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0196014 Jan 2026Charlotte WebbVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£260.2-£260.2Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0273114 Jan 2026Benjamin EllisKia SportageAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£624.5-£1.4K-£746.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0344413 Jan 2026Grace GrahamAudi A4Sophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£603.2-£140.8£462.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0246413 Jan 2026Freya WardTesla Model 3Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£648.9-£528.2£120.6Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0282713 Jan 2026Daniel RobertsBMW 320dAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.6K-£1.8K-£209.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0341812 Jan 2026Grace GrahamTesla Model 3Amelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£408.7£408.7Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0350311 Jan 2026Daniel RobertsToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£301.6£301.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0198811 Jan 2026Grace GrahamKia SportageGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review-£92.8£163.1£255.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0211311 Jan 2026Oscar HallNissan QashqaiAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review£0-£136.3-£136.3Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0187611 Jan 2026Isla TurnerHyundai Kona ElectricAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£98.4-£806.6-£708.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0300911 Jan 2026Daniel RobertsBMW 320dSophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£670.6-£1.3K-£610.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0349010 Jan 2026Lucas EdwardsHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionTrade Sale£797.5£742.2-£55.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0306210 Jan 2026Freya WardVolkswagen GolfGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£361.6£361.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0218109 Jan 2026Lily JenkinsMercedes-Benz VitoSophie BennettAuctionManual Review-£150.5£331.4£481.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0228108 Jan 2026Daniel RobertsVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review-£85.7-£301.9-£216.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0266608 Jan 2026Leo SinghHyundai TucsonGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£498.6-£896.5-£397.9Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0345307 Jan 2026Harry CampbellMercedes-Benz VitoSophie BennettAuctionTrade Sale£834.9£344.9-£490Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0304107 Jan 2026Sophie WalkerHyundai Kona ElectricGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale-£576.6-£84.5£492.1Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0333207 Jan 2026Isla TurnerVolkswagen TransporterGeorge PatelTrade SaleManual Review-£699.9-£503.4£196.5Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0259807 Jan 2026Oliver PriceVolkswagen GolfSophie BennettRe-LeaseExtend 6 Months-£326.2-£573.8-£247.6Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Extend 6 Months replaced re-lease. No second-line release required.
Case 0317706 Jan 2026Jessica WilsonAudi A4Sophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£837.7-£418.5£419.2Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0302005 Jan 2026Isla TurnerMercedes-Benz VitoGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£388.3£388.3Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0326205 Jan 2026Grace GrahamHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleManual Review-£429.1£149.2£578.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0266305 Jan 2026Finley DaviesFord FiestaGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£36.5-£144.8-£181.3Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0340305 Jan 2026Lily JenkinsKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailManual Review-£1.2K-£833.4£321.4Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced digital retail. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0328603 Jan 2026Charlotte WebbToyota YarisAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£321.7£321.7Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Trade Sale held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0319503 Jan 2026Lily JenkinsToyota YarisSophie BennettAuctionManual Review£8.8£185.9£177.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0282603 Jan 2026Ava KhanBMW 320dSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£273.4-£273.4Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0342903 Jan 2026Lily JenkinsTesla Model 3Sophie BennettTrade SaleManual Review-£888.3-£1.2K-£361.1Manual exceptionNot requiredManual exception. Manual Review replaced trade sale. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0232102 Jan 2026Oscar HallToyota YarisGeorge PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0£648.5£648.5Approved executionNot requiredApproved execution. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0353401 Jan 2026Oliver PriceMercedes-Benz VitoSophie BennettAuctionTrade Sale£870.5£570.8-£299.7Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale replaced auction. No second-line release required.
Case 0322701 Jan 2026George PatelAudi A4George PatelTrade SaleTrade Sale£0-£192.1-£192.1Channel underperformanceNot requiredChannel underperformance. Trade Sale held through execution. No second-line release required.