Outcome evidence

Outcomes

Sponsor-first evidence for realized value, decision adherence, channel execution, and the corrections the operating pack still needs.

Scope

Cohort focus is pinned to 01 Dec 2025. Use “Return to window” to restore the rolling evidence window.

Evidence board

Cohort 01 Dec 2025

Cohort 01 Dec 2025 settled 13 cases with £-1,013 realized against £-409 expected, leaving £-604 variance; 76.92% landed on plan or better, while override behaviour remains the main leakage driver.

Latest settled cohort01 Mar 2026
Scope nowFocused cohort 01 Dec 2025 / All segments / All executed paths / All channels / Overridden path / All outcome bands
Settled cases13

Cohort 01 Dec 2025 realized outcomes in active scope.

Realized delta vs plan-£1K

Value delivered against the current plan at execution.

Variance to expected-£603.8

Difference between realized delta and the execution-time expectation.

On plan or better76.9%

Settled cases that landed on plan or beat plan.

Override share100.0%

Settled cases executed away from the recommended path.

Manual review share38.5%

Settled cases that ended on the manual review route.

Median turnaround9.0d

Median execution latency from release to settlement.

Cohort performance ledger

Settled performance by cohort

One line per settled cohort month so sponsors can see realized value, decision posture, and where action is now required.

CohortSettledExpectedRealizedVarianceOn plan+OverrideManual reviewMedian TATDominant segmentDominant pathAction required
01 Dec 202513-£409.4-£1K-£603.876.9%100.0%38.5%9.0dSUVManual ReviewManual review still dominating settled mix.
Value leakage workbench

Decision Adherence

Shows whether realized performance came from approved execution or overrides.

Decision postureCasesExpectedRealizedVariance
Overridden path13-£409.4-£1K-£603.8
Segment x executed path

Route concentration matrix

Shows where the settled mix and on-plan performance are concentrating inside the active scope.

SegmentManual ReviewTrade SaleDigital RetailAuctionRe-Lease
Premium10.0%-1100.0%1100.0%-
SUV250.0%1100.0%2100.0%-1100.0%
Hatchback250.0%----
Van-1100.0%-1100.0%-
Settled decisions

Case-level evidence

Explains how each realized outcome landed without forcing the operator to leave the evidence room.

13 rows in active scope
CaseSettledCustomerAssetOwnerCurrent planExecutedExpectedRealizedVarianceDriverApproval postureWhy this landed here
Case 0280331 Dec 2025Harry CampbellHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeRe-LeaseRe-Lease-£881.1-£119.8£761.3Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Re-Lease held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0286931 Dec 2025Archie TaylorHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£557.8-£930.9-£1.5KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0275226 Dec 2025Jacob FisherVolkswagen TransporterAmelia ClarkeAuctionAuction£782.1£679.4-£102.7Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. No second-line release required.
Case 0259022 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeHyundai TucsonAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£679.8-£120.8-£800.6Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0305821 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail-£299.2£75.3£374.4Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0295209 Dec 2025Leo SinghKia SportageSophie BennettTrade SaleTrade Sale-£442.8£533.1£975.9Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0292607 Dec 2025Leo SinghMercedes-Benz VitoAmelia ClarkeTrade SaleTrade Sale-£638.6-£147.5£491Overridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Trade Sale held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0310706 Dec 2025Jack MasonBMW 320dGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£863.6-£990-£1.9KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0272005 Dec 2025Ruby ClarkeBMW 320dGeorge PatelAuctionAuction£816.3£88.3-£727.9Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Auction held through execution. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0314005 Dec 2025Freya WardFord FiestaGeorge PatelAuctionManual Review£760.6-£382.6-£1.1KOverridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0288404 Dec 2025Oliver PriceVolkswagen GolfAmelia ClarkeAuctionManual Review£372.5-£264.6-£637.1Overridden pathNot requiredOverridden path. Manual Review replaced auction. Manual exception route cleared without second-line release.
Case 0231703 Dec 2025George PatelAudi A4Amelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.6K£591.7£2.2KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.
Case 0303101 Dec 2025Mia WatsonKia SportageAmelia ClarkeDigital RetailDigital Retail-£1.4K-£24.7£1.4KOverridden pathApprovedOverridden path. Digital Retail held through execution. Released by validator before execution.