Case dossier
Case 00388
Oliver Price / Ford Transit Custom / matures 25 Apr 2026
Baseline Route
Auction Disposal
Lead Route
Extend 12 Months
Selected Route
No route actioned
Release Call
Release clear / No second-line release required.
12-month extension elevated review / Policy review route requires validator release
Expected Delta
£9,359
Publication
1 source inputs need review before actioning.
30 Mar, 23:44
Amelia ClarkePortfolio Manager / Recommended / Not Required
Approval Required / Validator approval is required before execution.
Commercial Context
Contract, treatment, and asset posture
- Contract type
- HP
- Remaining term
- 1 months
- Monthly payment
- £1,212
- Settlement balance
- £11,211
- Cash release estimate
- -£197
- Balloon amount
- £0
- Payment behaviour
- Clean
- Treatment posture
- Standard
- Hardship status
- None
- Mileage actual / expected
- 89,724 / 71,050
- Condition
- Poor
- Market value
- £11,014
- Booked residual
- £15,624
- Current channel
- Auction
- Vehicle segment
- Van
- VT posture
- Not eligible / Guarded
- Last inspection
- 21 Feb 2026
- Valuation source
- Market Signal Feed / 16 Mar 2026
Route Comparison
Recommended route, challengers, and release posture
- Winning rationale
- 12-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable.
- Lead positive drivers
- Auction fallback threshold / 12-month extension age ceiling / Residual pressure is compressing uplift on disposal and extension routes.
- Primary blockers
- Auction fallback threshold / 12-month extension age ceiling / Residual tolerance for PCP extension / Negative equity escalation trigger
- Required release
- Not required
| Route | Status | Release Gate | Delta | Value | Rationale | Constraint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extend 12 Months | Lead / Recommended | Approval required / Validator | £9,359 | £17,817 | 12-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable. | - |
| Re-Lease | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | £7,016 | £15,475 | Re-lease holds the strongest retained-value position while mileage, vehicle age, and clean payment posture remain inside tolerance. | - |
| Extend 6 Months | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | £6,358 | £14,816 | 6-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable. | - |
| Trade Sale | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | £432 | £8,890 | Trade Sale Disposal is commercially credible for this van case, but current Trade Sale headroom is binding and a lower-friction route can clear sooner. | - |
| Auction | Baseline / Current Plan | Approval required / Validator | £0 | £8,458 | Auction Disposal is commercially credible for this van case, but current Auction headroom is binding and a lower-friction route can clear sooner. | - |
| Manual Review | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | -£241 | £8,217 | Manual review is being held as the controlled path because treatment, arrears, or policy friction prevents straight-through release. | - |
| Digital Retail | Blocked | No approval gate | £1,205 | £9,664 | Blocked by policy: Digital retail segment eligibility. | Blocked by Digital retail segment eligibility. |
Governance, Evidence, and Notes
Release basis, publication, and operating trail
- Release call
- Release clear / No second-line release required.
- Approval basis
- 12-month extension elevated review / Policy review route requires validator release
- Required approver
- Not required
- Blocked checks
- Auction fallback threshold
- Timeline coverage
- 4 timeline records / 0 notes
- Publication context
- Published 30 Mar, 23:44 / effective 30 Mar, 23:44 / 1 source inputs need review before actioning.
Timeline and notes
Decision inputs captured
30 Mar, 23:44
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Decision inputs captured
Decision snapshot published
30 Mar, 23:44
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Default seed generated
Recommendation refreshed
01 Jan, 09:01
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Default seed generated
Case Identified
01 Jan, 09:00
Amelia Clarke / Portfolio Manager
Maturity horizon entry