Case dossier
Case 00190
Theo Murphy / Ford Fiesta / matures 08 Apr 2026
Baseline Route
Trade Sale Disposal
Lead Route
Re Lease
Selected Route
No route actioned
Release Call
Release clear / No second-line release required.
No second-line release required.
Expected Delta
£1,748
Publication
All live source inputs are current.
30 Mar, 23:44
Amelia ClarkePortfolio Manager / Recommended / Not Required
Release Clear / The selected route can move to execution.
Commercial Context
Contract, treatment, and asset posture
- Contract type
- PCP
- Remaining term
- 1 months
- Monthly payment
- £232
- Settlement balance
- £6,096
- Cash release estimate
- £3,444
- Balloon amount
- £5,030
- Payment behaviour
- Watch
- Treatment posture
- Standard
- Hardship status
- None
- Mileage actual / expected
- 27,720 / 26,100
- Condition
- Good
- Market value
- £9,540
- Booked residual
- £6,986
- Current channel
- Trade Sale
- Vehicle segment
- Hatchback
- VT posture
- Eligible / Guarded
- Last inspection
- 07 Mar 2026
- Valuation source
- Market Signal Feed / 14 Mar 2026
Route Comparison
Recommended route, challengers, and release posture
- Winning rationale
- Re-lease holds the strongest retained-value position while mileage, vehicle age, and watch payment posture remain inside tolerance.
- Lead positive drivers
- No positive ranking driver was recorded for the lead route.
- Primary blockers
- No policy, approval, or treatment blocker is constraining the lead route.
- Required release
- Not required
| Route | Status | Release Gate | Delta | Value | Rationale | Constraint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Re-Lease | Lead / Recommended | No approval gate | £1,748 | £10,452 | Re-lease holds the strongest retained-value position while mileage, vehicle age, and watch payment posture remain inside tolerance. | - |
| Extend 12 Months | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | £1,367 | £10,072 | 12-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable. | - |
| Extend 6 Months | Permitted | No approval gate | £1,321 | £10,026 | 6-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable. | - |
| Digital Retail | Permitted | No approval gate | £700 | £9,405 | Digital retail is carrying the best net disposal value for this hatchback unit after timing, fees, and residual drag are applied. | - |
| Trade Sale | Baseline / Current Plan | No approval gate | £0 | £8,705 | Trade sale clears the vehicle with stronger execution certainty once carrying cost and channel friction are priced into the route. | - |
| Auction | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | -£395 | £8,310 | Auction is the fastest credible exit once mileage, condition, and time-to-clear pressure are priced into the decision. | - |
| Manual Review | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | -£611 | £8,094 | Manual review is being held as the controlled path because treatment, arrears, or policy friction prevents straight-through release. | - |
Governance, Evidence, and Notes
Release basis, publication, and operating trail
- Release call
- Release clear / No second-line release required.
- Approval basis
- No second-line release required.
- Required approver
- Not required
- Blocked checks
- None
- Timeline coverage
- 4 timeline records / 0 notes
- Publication context
- Published 30 Mar, 23:44 / effective 30 Mar, 23:44 / All live source inputs are current.
Timeline and notes
Decision inputs captured
30 Mar, 23:44
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Decision inputs captured
Decision snapshot published
30 Mar, 23:44
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Default seed generated
Recommendation refreshed
01 Jan, 09:01
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Default seed generated
Case Identified
01 Jan, 09:00
Amelia Clarke / Portfolio Manager
Maturity horizon entry