Case dossier

Case 00188

Lucas Edwards / Volkswagen Transporter / matures 27 Jun 2026
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Baseline Route
Auction Disposal
Lead Route
Extend 12 Months
Selected Route
No route actioned
Release Call
Release clear / No second-line release required.
12-month extension elevated review / Policy review route requires validator release
Expected Delta
£6,703
Publication
1 source inputs need review before actioning.
30 Mar, 23:44
Amelia ClarkePortfolio Manager / Recommended / Not Required
Approval Required / Validator approval is required before execution.
Commercial Context
Contract, treatment, and asset posture
Contract type
HP
Remaining term
3 months
Monthly payment
£891
Settlement balance
£12,318
Cash release estimate
£192
Balloon amount
£0
Payment behaviour
Clean
Treatment posture
Standard
Hardship status
None
Mileage actual / expected
92,068 / 76,500
Condition
Fair
Market value
£12,510
Booked residual
£17,856
Current channel
Auction
Vehicle segment
Van
VT posture
Not eligible / Guarded
Last inspection
19 Feb 2026
Valuation source
Market Signal Feed / 17 Mar 2026
Route Comparison
Recommended route, challengers, and release posture
Winning rationale
12-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable.
Lead positive drivers
12-month extension age ceiling / Residual tolerance for PCP extension / Residual pressure is compressing uplift on disposal and extension routes.
Primary blockers
12-month extension age ceiling / Residual tolerance for PCP extension / Negative equity escalation trigger / Extension mileage ceiling
Required release
Not required
RouteStatusRelease GateDeltaValueRationaleConstraint
Extend 12 MonthsLead / RecommendedApproval required / Validator£6,703£16,686
12-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable.
-
Re-LeasePermittedApproval required / Validator£5,549£15,532
Re-lease holds the strongest retained-value position while mileage, vehicle age, and clean payment posture remain inside tolerance.
-
Extend 6 MonthsPermittedApproval required / Validator£4,837£14,820
6-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable.
-
Trade SalePermittedApproval required / Validator£498£10,480
Trade Sale Disposal is commercially credible for this van case, but current Trade Sale headroom is binding and a lower-friction route can clear sooner.
-
AuctionBaseline / Current PlanApproval required / Validator£0£9,983
Auction Disposal is commercially credible for this van case, but current Auction headroom is binding and a lower-friction route can clear sooner.
-
Manual ReviewPermittedApproval required / Validator-£286£9,697
Manual review is being held as the controlled path because treatment, arrears, or policy friction prevents straight-through release.
-
Digital RetailBlockedNo approval gate£1,400£11,383
Blocked by policy: Digital retail segment eligibility.
Blocked by Digital retail segment eligibility.
Governance, Evidence, and Notes
Release basis, publication, and operating trail
Release call
Release clear / No second-line release required.
Approval basis
12-month extension elevated review / Policy review route requires validator release
Required approver
Not required
Blocked checks
12-month extension age ceiling
Timeline coverage
4 timeline records / 0 notes
Publication context
Published 30 Mar, 23:44 / effective 30 Mar, 23:44 / 1 source inputs need review before actioning.
Timeline and notes
Decision inputs captured
30 Mar, 23:44
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Decision inputs captured
Decision snapshot published
30 Mar, 23:44
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Default seed generated
Recommendation refreshed
27 Feb, 09:01
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Default seed generated
Case Identified
27 Feb, 09:00
George Patel / Portfolio Manager
Maturity horizon entry