Case dossier
Case 00051
Sophie Walker / Volkswagen Transporter / matures 18 Jul 2026
Baseline Route
Trade Sale Disposal
Lead Route
Extend 12 Months
Selected Route
No route actioned
Release Call
Release clear / No second-line release required.
12-month extension elevated review / Policy review route requires validator release
Expected Delta
£6,177
Publication
All live source inputs are current.
30 Mar, 23:44
Amelia ClarkePortfolio Manager / Recommended / Not Required
Approval Required / Validator approval is required before execution.
Commercial Context
Contract, treatment, and asset posture
- Contract type
- HP
- Remaining term
- 4 months
- Monthly payment
- £891
- Settlement balance
- £11,846
- Cash release estimate
- -£140
- Balloon amount
- £0
- Payment behaviour
- Watch
- Treatment posture
- Standard
- Hardship status
- None
- Mileage actual / expected
- 85,860 / 81,000
- Condition
- Fair
- Market value
- £11,707
- Booked residual
- £17,118
- Current channel
- Trade Sale
- Vehicle segment
- Van
- VT posture
- Not eligible / Guarded
- Last inspection
- 17 Feb 2026
- Valuation source
- Market Signal Feed / 20 Mar 2026
Route Comparison
Recommended route, challengers, and release posture
- Winning rationale
- 12-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable.
- Lead positive drivers
- 12-month extension age ceiling / Residual tolerance for PCP extension / Residual pressure is compressing uplift on disposal and extension routes.
- Primary blockers
- 12-month extension age ceiling / Residual tolerance for PCP extension / Negative equity escalation trigger / 12-month extension elevated review
- Required release
- Not required
| Route | Status | Release Gate | Delta | Value | Rationale | Constraint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extend 12 Months | Lead / Recommended | Approval required / Validator | £6,177 | £15,775 | 12-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable. | - |
| Re-Lease | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | £4,993 | £14,591 | Re-lease holds the strongest retained-value position while mileage, vehicle age, and watch payment posture remain inside tolerance. | - |
| Extend 6 Months | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | £4,296 | £13,894 | 6-month extension preserves value against immediate disposal while residual pressure and servicing drag stay controllable. | - |
| Trade Sale | Baseline / Current Plan | Approval required / Validator | £0 | £9,598 | Trade Sale Disposal is commercially credible for this van case, but current Trade Sale headroom is binding and a lower-friction route can clear sooner. | - |
| Auction | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | -£464 | £9,134 | Auction Disposal is commercially credible for this van case, but current Auction headroom is binding and a lower-friction route can clear sooner. | - |
| Manual Review | Permitted | Approval required / Validator | -£728 | £8,871 | Manual review is being held as the controlled path because treatment, arrears, or policy friction prevents straight-through release. | - |
| Digital Retail | Blocked | No approval gate | £837 | £10,436 | Blocked by policy: Digital retail segment eligibility. | Blocked by Digital retail segment eligibility. |
Governance, Evidence, and Notes
Release basis, publication, and operating trail
- Release call
- Release clear / No second-line release required.
- Approval basis
- 12-month extension elevated review / Policy review route requires validator release
- Required approver
- Not required
- Blocked checks
- 12-month extension age ceiling
- Timeline coverage
- 4 timeline records / 0 notes
- Publication context
- Published 30 Mar, 23:44 / effective 30 Mar, 23:44 / All live source inputs are current.
Timeline and notes
Decision inputs captured
30 Mar, 23:44
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Decision inputs captured
Decision snapshot published
30 Mar, 23:44
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Default seed generated
Recommendation refreshed
20 Mar, 09:01
SYSTEM / Policy Owner
Default seed generated
Case Identified
20 Mar, 09:00
Sophie Bennett / Portfolio Manager
Maturity horizon entry